NATO is struggling to figure out how to respond, with member nations holding differing perspectives on when Russian behavior crosses a red line. "We should be able to achieve our objectives and keep the Indo-Pacific, for example, free and open and prosperous into the future. The arrival of these weapons in China's arsenal is now making Washington think twice about going to war to defend Taiwan if China does decide to invade it. Russias leadership would then warn that any attempt to retaliate would unleash the rest of the countrys nuclear weapons, killing millions more and destroying the U.S. as a military, political, and economic entity. 1st Class Jason Muzzy, an observer-controller from Company A, 1st Battalion, 161st Infantry Regiment, works with an Estonian soldier during a training exercise in Germany. The US conducted a military exercise last week which simulated a "limited" nuclear exchange with Russia, a senior Pentagon official has confirmed. Franz-Stefan Gady, the specialist in future warfare, believes this will certainly yield benefits in 20 years' time but before then there will be a worrying gap. Defense News' Russia correspondent, Matthew Bodner, contributed to this report from Moscow. as well as other partner offers and accept our. An all-out nuclear war would likely involve more than 3,000 warheads used by both sides, killing well over 100 million Americans and Russians. The simulation assumes that Russia would target major US cities and there are no bomb threat warnings in those major cities. Russia remains weak, according to many traditional criteria. In our scenario, the President of the United States has ordered the U.S. military to intervene on Ukraines behalf, destroying Russian Ground Forces units in the field and downing Russian fighter jets. All nuclear powers implicitly operate by the principle of assured destructiona nuclear attack on them guarantees a devastating response. But while it has moved large amounts. According to a recent report by international think tank Chatham House, Russia's military strength in its Western Military District stands at 65,000 ground troops, 850 pieces of artillery, 750 tanks, and 320 combat aircraft. Both countries also subscribe to a policy of assured destruction, meaning any attack on either nation would result in the attackers destruction. On February 24, Russian forces began advancing into Ukrainian territory across several fronts, marking a major escalation in a conflict that started in 2014. "The embarrassment is just going to keep growing over this," Laura Harth, the campaign director at Safeguard Defenders, told Newsweek. The armed conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh has aptly demonstrated what future warfare will look like, with its swarms of kamikaze drones constantly on their enemy's tail. Places like New York City, the San Francisco Bay Area, and entire regions of the U.S. would be spared. "Let's be honest, if Washington indicated that some deal could be struck where they tacitly accept the Russians' position in Crimea and parts of Donbas, they are not going to fight a war for Assad. Naval Institute News, The Diplomat, Foreign Policy, Combat Aircraft Monthly, VICE News, and others. The result: Russia is unexpectedly re-emerging as America's chief military rival. The Ukraine War Has Already Begun - and It's Unlike Any You've Seen Before The hybrid warfare developed and practiced by Russia over the past two decades relies - like in the Ukraine crisis - on propaganda, psychological warfare and cyberattacks as much as on conventional firepower In the current situation, lacking a direct U.S. and Russian confrontation, the likelihood of nuclear war is somewhere near zero. Russia currently occupies parts of Ukraine, but the U.S. still considers Moscow's March 2014 invasion illegal and its control there illegitimate. and Russian leaders understand that a full-scale nuclear war would be a civilization-ending event, Drozdenko explains. But few believe any conflict would play out like that. Russia's electronic warfare capability is also daunting to Pentagon military planners; left unclear is the extent to which Russia could jam the radars and signals intelligence that forms the foundation of the U.S.'s advanced air power. Russian troops deployed close to the Ukrainian border will return to base after completing their exercises, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said yesterday. ", Sign up for our new free Indy100 weekly newsletter. Ukraine's anticipated counter-offensive will be like a "big bang," a military expert told The Sun. According to a recent open-source study (not published in a peer-reviewed journal), such an all-out attack would kill as many as 104,241,000 Americans. Since then, the simulation has received more than a million views. Diplomacy could ensure that both sides, though they want very different things, can work together to avoid the one thing everyone doesnt wantnuclear war. The exercise will feature the Black Sea Fleet's flagship, the guided missile cruiser Moskva, as well as several smaller escort vessels and large amphibious assault and landing ships, Russia's TASS news agency reported. As U.S. officials watch that unfold, they are "clearly motivated by concerns that at least locally, Russia has the potential to generate superior forces," said David Ochmanek, a former Pentagon official who is now a defense analyst at the RAND Corp. And looming over the entire U.S.-Russian relationship are their nuclear arsenals. In the final stage of the conflict, both Russia and NATO target the 30 most populated cities and economic centers of the other sideusing 5-10 nuclear warheads on each depending on population. The audio-visual scenario is called "Plan A" and it shows how devastating a nuclear war would be. Russia's inability to make progress may threaten the stability of the Putin government, inclining Moscow to contemplate dangerous escalation. It is not clear . 30 Apr 2023 13:25:28 Imprecise language used to describe the tensions that have been building at the border - the prospect of a "Russian invasion of Ukraine" - has not helped. What Would Happen if a Nuclear War with Russia Broke Out This Is What a Nuclear War Between the U.S. and Russia Could Look Like It would likely involve more than 3,000 warheads used by. Additionally, there are legally binding contracts between countries, including Russia, that prevent a nuclear war from occurring. So not just the military but societies overall will be a prime target in future conflict.". As a result, Ukraine has found itself with no country willing to actively defend it against nuclear-armed Russia for fear of entering into a nuclear war. On 16 November, Russia carried out a missile test in. There'd be attempts to "blind" the other by knocking out communications, including satellites, or even cutting the vital undersea cables that carry data. Video, The secret mine that hid the Nazis' stolen treasure, MasterChef Australia host Jock Zonfrillo dies, US principal visits David sculpture after nudity row, Adidas sued by investors over Kanye West deal, UK chip giant Arm files for blockbuster share sale, US bank makes last ditch bid to find rescuer, Pope urges Hungarians to 'open doors' to migrants. Falling on May 9, it commemorates the Nazi surrender of World War II with a lavish spectacle meant to project might. Instead of carriers designed for offensive power projection at sea, the Russians are investing in an expanding fleet of submarines that can supplement their nuclear force and, conventionally, threaten an enemy surface fleet in nearby waters such as the Black Sea, the Baltic Sea or the Mediterranean Sea. Ethiopia has a civil war, Ukraine's separatist conflict has killed over 14,000 people since 2014, Syria's insurgency simmers on and Islamic State group is rampaging through parts of Africa. Millions more injured in the attacks and unable to reach a hospital would likely succumb to their injuries. In February 2022, Russia attacked Ukraine, starting the largest clash in Europe since World War II. Some see NATO's newest members, like Estonia, as particularly vulnerable to Russia aggression. Photo Credit: Vasily Maximov/AFP/Getty Images. Russian military and security forces would seek to remove the current government and state powers in order to insert replace them . "It would be a contested environment. Washington has placed economic sanctions on Russia, sent U.S. troops to help train Ukrainian forces and has ramped up military exercises across Eastern Europe. Russia has deployed a number of Su-30 fighters to Syria, aircraft that are capable of striking ground targets as well as those in the air. A simulation shows how a nuclear war between Russia and NATO could potentially play out in a horrific scenario that would result in the deaths of millions of people around the world within hours. The war has had a ripple effect on the world stage, dramatically increasing the stakes of disputes that have quietly smoldered for decades. April 27, 2023 4:01 am CET. Michele Flournoy was a Pentagon policy chief for US strategy under both Presidents Clinton and Obama. ', In a rare address to his nation on September 21st, Putin announced a "partial mobilisation" of around 300,000 troops to the war in Ukraine. China, in comparison, has about 250 nuclear warheads, a bit less that France (300) and a. Sporadic fighting between China and India continues on the Roof of the World. But modern wars are not toe-to-toe conventional fights; geography, politics and terrain inevitably give one side an advantage. Its aim is to highlight the "potentially catastrophic" consequences of a nuclear war between Russia and NATO. The United Nations is accustomed to oddity, absurdity and a certain amount of hypocrisy. At first glance, this may look like any other NATO training exercise, but think again. For example, he said, "one can look at the U.S. Navy as massively superior to the Russian navy. Such a scenario would result in the deaths of millions of people around the world within hours. Any fight between Turkey and Greece would immediately involve NATO, and would almost certainly result in some degree of opportunistic intervention by Russia. This can massively speed up commanders' decision-making and response times, allowing them to process information far more quickly. Taking this territory against the current opposition in Ukraine would require a force of around 24,000-36,000 personnel over six to 14 days. Tamara Patton, Moritz Ktt, Alex Glaser, Alex Wellerstein, Bruce Blair, Sharon Weiner, Zia Mian, Jeff Snyder, SCOTUS Now Just Another Congressional Committee, Secret Chinese Police Stations in Europe Are 'Tip of the Iceberg', Trump's Attorney Just Blew Carroll Rape Case, King Charles Says Royals Require 'Acting Ability', Ukraine Will Regain 'Significant Territory' From Russia, Florida GOP Paves the Way to Help Ron DeSantis Challenge Trump. Still, a nuclear war is not impossible. Russia depends on Iranian airspace for its flight corridors into Syria, and reportedly is prepared to support Iranian ground troops aligned with the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. And the U.S. military maintains a broad technological edge and a vastly superior ability to project power around the world. 19FortyFive's defense and national security contributing editor, Dr. Robert Farley has taught security and diplomacy courses at the Patterson School since 2005. In sum, the Russian military is not the equal of the U.S. military. It might seem like the war in Ukraine is slipping from the radar of the world's media, implying it has reached stalemate and ground to . The simulation begins in the context of a conventional conflictRussia fires a warning shot from a base near the city of Kaliningrad in an attempt to stop a U.S./NATO advance. "Once the nuclear threshold is crossed, it may be very difficult to prevent escalation to an all-out nuclear war, i.e., escalating from single use, to a tactical nuclear war in Europe, to a counterforce attack, and ultimately to a countervalue attacktargeting cities and economic centers with the aim of inhibiting the other side's recovery," Glaser said. In effect, the Russians could challenge the air superiority maintained even taken for granted by the U.S. over large swaths the Middle East for more than 20 years. Here, the US has the qualitative edge over its potential adversaries and Michele Flournoy believes it can offset areas where the West is outnumbered by the vast size of China's People's Liberation Army. After all, there is little reason to trust Russia at this point. Before we begin, we should note that neither of the scenarios are likely to occur in our lifetimes. Scenario 1: decapitation. Explore in 3D: The dazzling crown that makes a king. He lives in San Francisco. Because of the dire consequences of a nuclear conflict, it is incumbent on nuclear states to seek diplomatic solutions, Drozdenko says. That's reflected in the fact that Russia maintains a lone aircraft carrier while the U.S. Navy's 10-carrier fleet operates on a continuing global deployment cycle. If war does break out it could rapidly become more destructive than the Russia-Ukraine War, with conventional and nuclear weapons exacting a horrific toll on both sides. She believes the solution is two things - close consultation and collaboration with allies and investment in the right places. U.S. officials and others cast doubt on that claim, saying the Russians appeared to be attacking opposition groups fighting Syrian government forces. "We need anti-tank Javelin systems, intelligence and combat drones, fighter jets, helicopters, electronic and signal intelligence systems, radars and sound intelligence systems" to counter Russian military equipment used by Moscow-backed separatists on the eastern front, said Colonel General Victor Muzhenko, the Ukrainian military's top officer. Other estimates are much higher, but in general there is a high degree of uncertainty about how much of those forces exist only on paper, and how many are truly prepared for combat. But what does the future of great-power warfare look like and is the West a match for the challenges ahead? The core principle of NATO is its system of collective defence - this means if . "It's much more about the U.S. than it is about Syria and Assad," Galeotti said. Montana, Wyoming, and North Dakota would receive at least 800 nuclear strikes between them. Well, almost the first things that would happen in any hostilities would be massive cyber attacks by both sides. The U.S. operates 10 aircraft carriers; Russia has just one. With modern technology and nuclear weapons, some wonder what a new World War would look like. ", Ukrainian serviceman patrol near the chemical plant in Avdeevka, Donetsk region, on June 20, 2015. Putin's spokesman pointed on Tuesday to the Biden administration . Patchy control Close watchers of the Russia-Ukraine war say the fluid and rapidly changing. The Plan A simulation was originally prepared for an exhibition at Princeton's Bernstein Gallery in 2017 and was later made available to the public as a YouTube video in 2019. taken extraordinary care with the risks of escalation, domestic vulnerability of the Erdogan regime, Waging War with Gold: National Security and the Finance Domain Across the Ages. The United States launches a counterstrike, but it is seriously hobbled by a lack of forces, with most of the U.S. Strategic Commands Minuteman III ICBMs and B-2 and B-52 bombers destroyed in the first strike. What would war between Russia and NATO look like? The scenario shown in the piece is a plausible one based on the available evidence. On 16 November, Russia carried out a missile test in space, destroying one of its own satellites. Cities like Seattle, uncomfortably close to Joint Base Kitsap, the home of the Pacific Fleets ballistic missile submarines, would likely take some damage. The base will help secure Russia's longtime naval support facility at the Syrian port of Tarus, a key to the Russian military's ability to maintain and project power into the Mediterranean. The Baltic Fleet's assets today include only two small Kilo-class diesel powered submarines, one of which is used mostly for training, along with a handful of Sovremenny-class destroyers, a frigate, four corvettes, and a smattering of support ships. by TNI Staff Here's What You Need To Know: Russia would need to size its invasion. Russia's Victory Day parade is an annual extravagance in Red Square. Lost in all of the discussion of the revitalization of NATO in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine has been a simmering crisis on the alliance's southern flank. The costs to Russia would be too high, the benefits too limited. Moments later, Russia launches its entire force of 304 land-based ICBMs carrying a total of approximately 1,183 thermonuclear warheads. But over time I think we would be able to degrade it. Russia claims to have some 750 tanks in its western military region, though its unclear how much of that equipment is legitimately combat-ready. How much are the Russians truly capable of? The second, more devastating countervalue scenario involves an all-out use of nukes to destroy the United States ability to wage war, with the side effect of reducing American society to a pre-industrial level of development. .css-v1xtj3{display:block;font-family:FreightSansW01,Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif;font-weight:100;margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;-webkit-text-decoration:none;text-decoration:none;}@media (any-hover: hover){.css-v1xtj3:hover{color:link-hover;}}@media(max-width: 48rem){.css-v1xtj3{font-size:1.1387rem;line-height:1.2;margin-bottom:1rem;margin-top:0.625rem;}}@media(min-width: 40.625rem){.css-v1xtj3{line-height:1.2;}}@media(min-width: 48rem){.css-v1xtj3{font-size:1.18581rem;line-height:1.2;margin-bottom:0.5rem;margin-top:0rem;}}@media(min-width: 64rem){.css-v1xtj3{font-size:1.23488rem;line-height:1.2;margin-top:0.9375rem;}}6 Tips for Installing Your New In-Ground Pool, The Future of Mobile Military Power May Be Nuclear, We Built a Cool Mid-Century Influenced Desk, How Lasers Will Soon Power U.S. Military Bases, South Korea Is Building an American Arsenal Ship, Theres an Anti-Universe Going Backward in Time, Why France Is Still a Formidable Nuclear Power, 3 Simple Ways to Remove Wax From a Candle Jar, What We Know About the Navys New Seabed Spy Sub. It's a unique battlespace, and the Americans who have provided training to Ukrainian forces are eager to collect intelligence about the Russians' new mode of combat. In our scenario, the Joint Chiefs of Staff argue that the United States has nothing to lose by trying, and in doing so, could attempt to reduce the overall damage of an inevitable second strike. These five areas pose the greatest risk for the eruption of what we might be tempted to call "World War III.". Disputes between Athens and Ankara over energy exploration in the Aegean have driven the current tension, although the territorial disagreement underlying the argument have existed for decades. Yet right now, on the cusp of 2022, the Russian forces massing on Ukraine's border, while certainly inclusive of offensive cyber and electronic warfare capabilities, are mainly composed of conventional hardware, such as tanks, armoured vehicles and troops - the same sort of hardware that would be deployed if Moscow decided to roll back into the Baltic states, for example. The first is the decapitation approach. The consequences of a nuclear war for life on Earth would be "unimaginable", Glaser said. In our scenario, well look at a surprise nuclear first strike that leads to all-out war. Hearst Magazine Media, Inc. All Rights Reserved. At that point, either side could opt to massively escalate, reasoning that the first side to use larger, more powerful strategic nuclear weapons could gain a survival advantage over the other, launching a first strike so devastating it destroys most of the enemys strategic arsenal. But what if the current tensions between the West and Russia over Ukraine, say, or between the US and China over Taiwan broke out into hostilities? The quality of Russia's stealth aircraft is far weaker than those of the U.S., but Russia has cutting-edge anti-stealth systems, and also has invested heavily in robust surface-to-air missile systems and arrayed its forces domestically to protect its border regions. What War With Russia Would Look Like https://ad.style/ Guest Post by Scott Ritter Wendy Sherman thinks her aim in talks with Russian officials starting Monday is to lecture them on the cost of hubris. It's about "working out at what point a military response is the correct response," said Nick de Larrinaga, a London-based analyst for IHS Jane's Defense and Security Group. "No Americans have been under Russian artillery or rocket fire or been on the receiving end of significant Russian electronic warfare, the jamming and collecting, for example, not at tactical levels.". "We've got a ton of experience in low-intensity warfare, counterinsurgency warfare, whereas a bulk of the Ukraine experience is facing a 21st-century, near-peer adversary," said Army Lt. Col. Michael Kloepper, commander of the U.S. Army's 2nd Battalion, 503rd Infantry Regiment, 173rd Airborne Brigade, which recently began its third rotation into Ukraine to train that nation's military forces. If it involves explosions or projectiles, he's generally in favor of it. The United States might choose not to retaliate, in order to avoid escalating, or it might well decide to retaliate with tactical nuclear weapons of its own. Up goes the budget for digital technology, artificial intelligence and cyber. Stay up to date with what you want to know. Russian President Vladimir Putin has indicated that he understands the peril of nuclear weapons. So is it all doom and gloom? Were that to happen, Russia would have to expand the defensive force to 40,000-55,000 troops . The argument goes that Putin would employ a type of hybrid warfare perfected in Ukraine to rally ethnic Russian populations in the Baltic states to rise up in support with special operations forces the so-called "little green men.". Russia itself would certainly suffer deaths in the tens of millions, but in this scenario, a death count seems like a futile means of keeping score. No matter what, it would be a nightmare for Europe's leaders. Fighting back would mean launching what remained of its ICBMs and any bombers that survived, using them to hunt down remaining Russian nuclear weapons. Meia Nouwens believes this leaves them with the choice of responding in either a "minimalist" or "maximalist" fashion, which carries the inherent risk of further escalating tensions. Ukrainian soldiers train outside Kyiv on Feb. 21. Video: As War Between Russia and Ukraine Continues in Europe, North Korea Appears To Be Rebuilding Its Nuclear Test Site (Veuer) The nuclear surprise attack, known as a "first strike," would . Some military officials question whether the exercise is a cover for shipping more troops and gear to the Syrian coast. And Russian officials have voiced support for Russian-speaking minorities, raising the specter of future agitation. A war between NATO and Russia would be tantamount to World War 3. SERGEY BOBOK/AFP via Getty Images. For now, Obama shows no signs of conceding to Russian control the regions Ukraine has controlled for decades. The Navy would begin hunting Russian missile submarines, including those that might be parked off the East and West Coasts of the U.S., armed with nuclear-tipped cruise missiles. Sign up for notifications from Insider! This Is What a Nuclear War Between the U.S. and Russia Could Look Like, U.S. Army National Guard photo by Sgt. The nuclear exchange quickly escalates in Europe with Russia sending 300 warheads via aircraft and short-range missiles to hit NATO bases and advancing troops. The strike targets Americas remaining military bases, industry, energy, communications, and transportation facilitiespractically anything that makes 21st-century life worth living. "In all likelihood, yes," he says. At the end of the day, a war fought with nuclear weapons is not one that can be won. Small, regional conflicts still erupt around the globe. China's Dong Feng 17, first revealed in 2019, carries a hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV) that can manoeuvre through the atmosphere with an almost unpredictable trajectory, making it hard to intercept. Since its annexation of Crimea in early 2014, Russia has steadily expanded its military presence in the region. Down goes the money for more traditional hardware and troop numbers. . We can hope that the leaders of the world's great powers will take care over the coming year with the vast stockpiles of weapons that they control. ", "Of course, we had no access whatsoever to classified information and often used 'simple' rules when allocating weapons to targets.". He received his bachelor's from the University of Oregon in 1997, and his Ph.D. from the University of Washington in 2004. As Russia wages war in Ukraine, experts have described what would happen in a nuclear strike, which is unlikely. And they started investing massively in a whole host of new technologies.". About 100 yards across . It looked like World War I. Many of the aspects of a major conflict between the West and say, Russia or China, have already been developed, rehearsed and deployed. That's hypersonic missiles - super-charged projectiles that can fly at anywhere between five and 27 times the speed of sound and carry either a conventional or nuclear warhead. While it is not clear if Russian President Vladimir Putin would ever go so far as to use nuclear weapons, the escalation of the conflict in Ukraine has led to a spike in discussions about the potential outbreak of nuclear war. Russian air force Su-30MKI fighter jet takes off during the MAKS-2015 International Aviation and Space Show in Zhukovsky, outside Moscow, Russia, Wednesday, Aug. 26, 2015. Its airspace also is heavily fortified. VideoThe secret mine that hid the Nazis' stolen treasure, LGBT troops take love for Eurovision to front line, Why an Indian comedian is challenging fake news rules, What Europe's royals could teach King Charles. It's logistically complex. Hitler and Stalin carved up Poland in 1939, and after the war the Soviet Union annexed most of the Polish territory it grabbed in 1939, with . The only alternatives are naval supply lines running from Crimea, requiring a passage of up to 10 days round-trip. The result would be near-total devastation with global consequences. And those next five to 10 years could well see some of the most dangerous challenges to Western security. Meanwhile, the Russian army, still predominantly a conscripted force, is being transitioned to an American-style professional force. It's denial." It remains unlikely that any of these disputes will develop into a global conflict, although the Ukraine War already has some aspects of great power war. Toe to toe, a conventional war between the U.S. and Russia would be no contest. With hundreds of new aircraft, tanks and missiles rolling off assembly lines and Russian jets buzzing European skies under NATOs wary eye, it doesnt look like Russias economic woes have had any impact on the Kremlins ambitious military modernization program. But it is now developing some key technologies, new fighting tactics and a brazen geopolitical strategy that is. First, a sustained war of conquest is unlikely. Over the summer China conducted tests of its advanced hypersonic missiles, capable of travelling at many times the speed of sound. While it is possible, of course, that a nuclear exchange remains "limited" and the other side backs off or responds with conventional weapons only, there would be huge pressure on decision-makers to "respond in kind" and deny the side to strike first any advantage. The immediate fatalities and casualties that would occur in each phase of the conflict are determined using data from NUKEMAP, an online tool that was developed by Alex Wellerstein at the Stevens Institute of Technology. The nuclear surprise attack, known as a first strike, would primarily target Americas land-based nuclear arsenal. Vladimir Putin has reminded Europe since invading Ukraine that Russia is still a nuclear superpower. But the eye-rolling is hitting epic levels this month as Russia has taken over the . "It is estimated that there would be more than 90 million people dead and injured within the first few hours of the conflict," Glaser said. If U.S. forces routed their Russian counterparts and neared the Ukrainian-Russian border, Russia might target them with tactical nuclear weapons (typically 20,000 tons of TNT or less) to stop their advance. Yet the Obama administration has been reluctant to provide more robust support, determined, it seems, to avoid the potential for a proxy war with the Russians. In that effort there are lots of paths to a real war between the United States and Russia. The four-minute audiovisual piece called "Plan A", which was developed by researchers associated with Princeton University's Program on Science & Global Security (SGS), has seen renewed interest since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Russia has announced successful tests of its Zircon hypersonic cruise missile, proclaiming that it can defeat any defences anywhere in the world. "This is really quite difficult for them. Mad men, unbound by reality and a survival instinct, might also choose nuclear war. Have your say in our news democracy. Tactical nuclear forces are smaller warheads that are used on the battlefield. One country decides it has exhausted all other options and must destroy enemy nuclear forces before it can use them. Where precisely might a conflict with Russia occur? That is why just last month, leaders of five nuclear weapons states, including the United States and Russia, called the avoidance of war between nuclear powers their foremost responsibilities, and affirmed that a nuclear war cannot be won and must never be fought.. In 2022, the world came closer to Great Power War than at any point since the end of the Cold War. That threat could become a powerful one if Russia's true goal in the Baltics is to force NATO into showing that it won't honor Article V, the key element of the alliance treaty that holds an attack on one member nation will be met with a swift and unified response from all member nations.
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